Panama Canal Implements Phased Flow Restrictions in September Amid El Niño Phenomenon

Panama Canal to Implement Phased Flow Restrictions in September

The Panama Canal Authority has announced that it will implement restrictions on the number of ship transits starting from September due to the intensification of the El Niño phenomenon and a significant drop in rainfall in the basin. The restrictions will be implemented in two phases, with the daily number of ships transiting the canal reduced from 36 to 34 starting from September 3, and further dropping to 32 ships starting from September 15.

The contraction of canal transit capacity is expected to lengthen ship waiting cycles, having a direct impact on transit trades such as the US East Coast routes. This development comes as global key maritime routes are under pressure due to the dual factors of El Niño drought and geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, driving shipping rates upward.

Blockages in Middle Eastern Waterways Exacerbate Competition for Global Routes

Meanwhile, the US-Iran conflict has caused blockages in the Strait of Hormuz, and combined with rising shipping risks in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a large number of ships are unable to pass through these key waterways and are forced to choose alternative routes for detours. This further exacerbates the tension in global route resources, and the competition among ships for space and routes has significantly intensified.

The blockages have led to a surge in ship-to-ship transfer chartering transactions outside the Gulf, with continuously tightening available market shipping slots. Geopolitical uncertainty on Middle East routes has risen, pushing up shipping risk premiums. Cargo volume on Atlantic routes is concentratedly released, ship slot supply is tight, and shipowners’ bargaining power continues to strengthen.

Container Shipping Rates Rise Beyond Expectations

Guosheng Securities analysis points out that under multiple disturbances, container shipping rates continue to rise beyond expectations. The prosperity of the oil shipping market has risen simultaneously, with the VLCC market achieving both volume and price growth. Chartering demand within the Gulf is strong, and ship-to-ship transfer chartering transactions outside the Gulf are active.

The business layouts of related shipping enterprises are as follows: Zhonggu Logistics, officially laying out the self-operated foreign trade container ship business in 2025. As of August 14, 2026, the company owns a total of 7 foreign trade container ships of 2000 TEU, of which 6 are deployed in the Red Sea route operations and 1 is deployed in the Southeast Asia route.

China Merchants Energy Shipping, as of July 2026, the company’s total tanker capacity reached 26.1706 million deadweight tons; among them, VLCC capacity is 21.2711 million deadweight tons, with both indicators ranking second globally.

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Original Article: Double disruptions shock global shipping! Panama Canal to implement phased flow restrictions in September – ChemNet — Chemnet